Premchand Palety, CEO of Cfore, the only pollster who got the 2008 and 2013 Karnataka elections 100% right, on what is in the offing, in Karnataka elections 2018.
His key predictions 15 days before polling day:
# Congress 120-plus; BJP 60-70; JDS 30.
# Siddaramaiah’s image is very high because of personal integrity; social welfare schemes (food, health, education); and development work (water, roads and electricity).
# The Congress’s AHINDA base is in tact, perhaps even stronger than in 2013.
# Narendra Modi and BJP have diminishing returns because of failed promises.
# B.S. Yeddyurappa is sulking because of rebuff to son and not campaigning as hard.
# JDS vote share is built entirely on Vokkaligas who are dominant in only 20 of the 224 seats.